News
El Niño Means It’s Warmer Than Usual. No El Niño? It’s Still Warmer Than Usual
By Eric Simons, Bay Nature
The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center creates all kinds of forecasts for the United States. Familiar and unfamiliar variables, short-term and long-term time scales, pretty much anything you might wonder about and lots of things you probably don’t, the Prediction Center has an outlook for it: drought, rain, monsoon, El Niño and La Niña, Madden-Julian Oscillation, storm tracks and, of course, temperature. The temperature outlooks for the United States are based on estimating the probabilities of three-month mean temperatures being above or below a 30-year average. The output is a series of groovy, swirly maps that look like this one, for December-January-February 2016:
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